Despite recent polls that indicate that former Vice President Joe Biden as the heavy favorite ahead of the 2020 election, a political science professor is still standing by his prediction model that shows President Trump having a "91 percent" chance of winning in November.
H/T: Fox News
“The terrain of presidential contests is littered with nominees who saw a poll lead in the spring turn to dust in the fall,” Norpoth told Mediaite. “The list is long and discouraging for early frontrunners. Beginning with Thomas Dewey in 1948, it spans such notables as Richard Nixon in 1960, Jimmy Carter in 1980, Michael Dukakis in 1988, George H.W. Bush in 1992, and John Kerry in 2004, to cite just the most spectacular cases."
Political scientist's prediction model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of beating Biden in November https://t.co/nopEuhpSbI— DeepClips (@DeepClips) July 9, 2020
This is incredible.— Ryan Fournier (@RyanAFournier) July 8, 2020
The Helmut Norpoth model suggests President Trump has a 91% chance of winning in November.
They’ve correctly picked 24 out of 26 presidential elections since 1912... including 2016.
Trump has 91% chance of winning second term, professor’s model predicts | The Independent https://t.co/lOzd2QcVlT— Eric Trump (@EricTrump) July 9, 2020
Professor: Trump Has 91 Percent Chance of Winning Reelection https://t.co/kiosfOPWFH— The Progressive Mind (@Libertea2012) July 8, 2020